Voice From The East

 

                             Manchester-United-midfielder-Sofyan-Amrabat-with-Erik-ten-Hag© PA Images
 

Goals are great, but what’s even better than actual goals? Expected goals. And, according to xG, Man Utd is worse than Crystal Palace.

According to the xG, they have only deserved to win six Premier League games this season.

Here’s the full xG table…

 

1) Manchester City – 41 points

Actual points: 34 (-7 points)

Burnley W 1.9-0.3

Newcastle United W 1.0-0.3

Sheffield United W 3.5-0.7

Fulham W 2.2-1.4

West Ham W 3.6-0.9

Nottingham Forest W 1.3-1.0

Wolves W 0.9-0.4

Arsenal W 0.5-0.4

Brighton D 0.8-0.8

Manchester United W 4.0-0.9

Bournemouth W 1.9-0.9

Chelsea D 2.9-2.9

Liverpool W 1.38-0.55

Tottenham W 2.6-0.5

Aston Villa L 0.8-2.0

Luton W 1.6-0.3

Crystal Palace L 1.6-1.8

 

2) Arsenal – 39 points

Actual points: 39 (level)

Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.2

Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.2

Crystal Palace W 2.0-1.0

Fulham W 3.2-0.6

Manchester United W 2.3-0.9

Everton W 1.0-0.3

Tottenham W 1.8-1.4

Bournemouth W 3.4-0.6

Man City L 0.4-0.5

Chelsea L 1.0-1.3

Sheffield United W 2.8-0.0

Newcastle L 0.6-0.9

Burnley W 1.9-0.4

Brentford W 1.52-1.11

Wolves W 2.8-0.7

Luton W 2.4-0.5

Aston Villa W 1.4-0.6

Brighton W 2.2-0.7

 

3) Everton – 37 points

Actual points before deduction: 26 (-11 points)

Fulham W 2.7-1.5

Aston Villa L 0.6-2.9

Wolves W 1.3-1.1

Sheffield United W 2.5-1.2

Arsenal L 0.3-1.0

Brentford W 1.9-1.0

Luton Town W 2.9-0.9

Bournemouth W 2.4-0.7

Liverpool L 0.1-2.2

West Ham W 0.8-0.7

Brighton W 0.7-0.5

Crystal Palace L 1.6-2.0

Manchester United W 2.4-2.2

Nottingham Forest D 0.7-0.7

Newcastle W 3.3-1.5

Chelsea W 1.2-0.9

Burnley W 1.3-0.7

 

4) Chelsea – 37 points

Actual points: 22 (-15 points)

Liverpool W 1.4-1.3

West Ham W 2.5-1.8

Luton W 2.2-0.4

Nottingham Forest W 2.3-0.8

Bournemouth W 1.8-1.0

Aston Villa W 1.3-1.0

Fulham W 1.7-1.1

Burnley W 1.9-0.7

Arsenal W 1.3-1.0

Brentford L 1.9-2.2

Tottenham W 4.0-1.9

Manchester City D 2.9-2.9

Newcastle L 0.58-2.28

Brighton W 1.9-1.0

Man Utd L 1.4-4.0

Everton L 0.9-1.2

Sheffield United W 2.8-0.4

 

5) Newcastle – 36 points

Actual points: 29 (-7 points)

Aston Villa W 3.3-1.8

Manchester City L 0.3-1.0

Liverpool W 2.0-0.9

Brighton L 1.2-1.3

Brentford W 1.4-0.5

Sheffield United W 3.9-0.9

Burnley W 3.2-0.6

West Ham W 2.0-1.2

Crystal Palace W 2.4-1.2

Wolves W 2.2-0.9

Arsenal W 0.9-0.6

Bournemouth L 0.5-2.6

Chelsea W 2.28-0.58

Man Utd W 2.4-0.5

Everton L 1.5 – 3.3

Tottenham L 1.7-3.9

Fulham W 3.6-0.3

 

6) Brighton – 32 points

Actual points: 26 (-6 points)

Luton W 4.0-1.5

Wolves W 2.2-2.1

West Ham L 1.5-3.0

Newcastle United W 1.3-1.2

Manchester United W 1.7-1.0

Bournemouth W 1.9-1.1

Aston Villa W 1.7-1.6

Liverpool D 2.3-2.3

Man City D 0.8-0.8

Fulham W 1.4-0.7

Everton L 0.5-0.7

Sheffield United W 1.5-0.7

Nottingham Forest L 1.46-1.69

Chelsea L 1.0-1.9

Brentford W 1.5-1.3

Burnley W 2.6-0.6

Arsenal L 0.7-2.2

 

7) Liverpool – 31 points

Actual points: 38 (+7 points)

Chelsea L 1.3-1.4

Bournemouth W 3.0-1.3

Newcastle United L 0.9-2.0

Aston Villa W 2.5-0.7

Wolves W 2.5-0.6

West Ham W 3.0-1.1

Tottenham L 1.3-2.2

Brighton D 2.3-2.3

Everton W 2.2-0.1

Nottingham Forest W 3.2-0.4

Luton W 2.6-0.8

Brentford L 1.4-1.5

Man City L 0.55-1.38

Fulham W 2.1-1.2

Sheffield United W 1.8-0.7

Crystal Palace L 1.2-1.7

Manchester United W 2.3-0.6

 

8) Aston Villa – 30 points

Actual points: 38 (+8 points)

Newcastle United L 1.8-3.3

Everton W 2.9-0.6

Burnley W 2.5-0.7

Liverpool L 0.7-2.5

Crystal Palace W 3.0-1.2

Chelsea L  1.0-1.3

Brighton L 1.6-1.7

Wolves W 1.7-1.6

West Ham W 1.9-1.1

Luton W 2.3-0.5

Nottingham Forest W 0.3-1.4

Fulham W 3.0-0.8

Tottenham L 1.7-2.3

Bournemouth L 0.7-2.0

Manchester City W 2.0-0.8

Arsenal L 0.6-1.4

Brentford W 1.4-0.5

 

9) Tottenham – 30 points

Actual points: 33 (+3 points)

Brentford L 1.3-2.2

Manchester United L 1.7-2.1

Bournemouth W 2.1-0.7

Burnley W 2.2-1.3

Sheffield United W 2.1-0.7

Arsenal L 1.4-1.8

Liverpool W 2.2-1.3

Luton W 1.9-0.8

Fulham W 1.5-1.0

Crystal Palace W 1.1-0.6

Chelsea L 0.9-4.0

Wolves L 0.7-2.1

Aston Villa W 2.3-1.7

Man City L 0.5-2.6

West Ham L 1.8-2.2

Newcastle United W 3.9-1.7

Nottingham Forest W 1.5-1.3

 

10) Brentford – 27 points

Actual points: 19 (-8 points)

Tottenham W 2.2-1.3

Fulham W 3.7-0.5

Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8

Bournemouth W 2.9-2.1

Newcastle United L 0.5-1.4

Everton L 1.0-1.9

Nottingham Forest W 1.6-0.5

Man Utd L 0.9-1.4

Burnley W 3.1-1.1

Chelsea W 2.2-1.9

West Ham L 1.3-1.8

Liverpool W 1.5-1.4

Arsenal L 1.11-1.52

Luton W 3.1-0.2

Brighton L 1.3-1.5

Sheffield United L 0.6-0.8

Aston Villa L 0.5-1.4

 

11) Nottingham Forest – 25 points

Actual points: 14 (-11 points)

Arsenal W 1.2-0.8

Sheffield United W 1.4-0.5

Manchester United L 1.2-2.8

Chelsea L 0.8-2.3

Burnley W 0.7-0.5

Manchester City L 1.0-1.3

Brentford L 0.5-1.6

Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8

Luton W 2.9-1.7

Liverpool L 0.4-3.2

Aston Villa L 0.4-1.3

West Ham W 1.6-1.5

Brighton W 1.69-1.46

Everton D 0.7-0.7

Fulham L 0.3-2.5

Wolves W 1.3-1.2

Tottenham L 1.3-1.5

 

12) Bournemouth – 21 points

Actual points: 19 (-2 points)

West Ham W 1.3-1.1

Liverpool L 1.3-3.0

Tottenham L 0.7-2.1

Brentford L 2.1-2.9

Chelsea L 1.0-1.8

Brighton L 1.1-1.9

Arsenal L 0.6-3.4

Everton L 0.7-2.4

Wolves L 0.6-2.4

Burnley W 1.1-0.8

Manchester City L 0.9-1.9

Newcastle United W 2.6-0.5

Sheffield United W 2.71-0.81

Aston Villa W 2.0-0.7

Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.8

Manchester United W 1.5-1.1

 

13) Crystal Palace – 21 points

Actual points: 17 (-4 points)

Sheffield United W 1.9-0.5

Arsenal L 1.0-2.0

Brentford L 0.8-1.0

Wolves W 2.1-1.2

Aston Villa L 1.2-3.0

Fulham L 0.3-0.6

Manchester United L 0.9-1.3

Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.0

Newcastle L 1.2-2.4

Tottenham L 0.6-1.1

Burnley W 1.3-1.1

Everton W 2.0-1.6

Luton W 1.68-0.83

West Ham L 0.8-1.3

Bournemouth L 0.8-1.6

Liverpool W 1.7-1.2

Manchester City W 1.8-1.6

 

14) Manchester United – 19 points

Actual points: 28 (+9 points)

Wolves D 2.2-2.2

Tottenham W 2.1-1.7

Nottingham Forest W 2.8-1.2

Arsenal L 0.9-2.3

Brighton L 1.0-1.7

Burnley L 1.0-1.1

Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.9

Brentford W 1.9-0.4

Sheffield United L 1.1-1.4

Manchester City L 0.9-4.0

Fulham L 0.7-1.0

Luton Town W 2.1-0.4

Everton L 2.2-2.4

Newcastle L 0.5-2.4

Chelsea W 4.0-1.4

Bournemouth L 1.1-1.5

Liverpool L 0.6-2.3

 

15) West Ham – 18 points

Actual points: 27 (+9 points)

Bournemouth L 1.1-1.3

Chelsea L 1.8-2.5

Brighton W 3.0-1.5

Luton L 1.0-1.4

Manchester City L 0.9-3.6

Liverpool L 1.1-3.0

Sheffield United W 2.1-1.1

Newcastle L 1.2-2.0

Aston Villa L 1.1-1.9

Everton L 0.7-0.8

Brentford W 1.8-1.3

Nottingham Forest L 1.5-1.6

Burnley L 1.03-1.27

Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.8

Spurs W 2.2-1.8

Fulham L 1.4-2.3

Wolves W 1.1-0.7

 

16) Fulham – 18 points

Actual points: 21 (+3 points)

Everton L 1.5-2.7

Brentford L 0.5-3.7

Arsenal L 0.6-3.2

Manchester City L 1.4-2.2

Luton L 1.0-1.1

Crystal Palace W 0.6-0.3

Chelsea L 1.1-1.7

Sheffield United W 2.2-0.6

Tottenham L 1.5-1.0

Brighton L 0.7-1.4

Manchester United W 1.0-0.7

Aston Villa L 0.8-3.0

Wolves W 2.8-1.4

Liverpool L 1.2-2.1

Nottingham Forest W 2.5-1.3

West Ham W 2.3-1.4

Newcastle L 0.3-3.6

 

17) Luton – 12 points

Actual points: 9 (-3 points)

Brighton L 1.5-4.0

Chelsea L 0.4-2.2

West Ham W 1.4-1.0

Fulham W 1.1-1.0

Wolves W 2.1-0.6

Everton L 0.9-2.9

Burnley W 1.3-1.1

Tottenham L 0.8-1.9

Nottingham Forest L 1.7-2.9

Aston Villa L 0.5-2.3

Liverpool L 0.8-2.6

Man Utd L 0.4-2.1

Crystal Palace L 0.83-1.68

Brentford L 0.2-3.1

Arsenal L 0.5-2.4

Manchester City L 0.3-1.6

 

18) Wolves – 11 points

Actual points: 19 (+8 points)

Manchester United D 2.2-2.2

Brighton L 2.1-2.2

Everton L 1.1-1.3

Crystal Palace L 1.2-2.1

Liverpool L 0.6-2.5

Luton L 0.6-2.1

Manchester City L 0.4-0.9

Aston Villa L 1.6-1.7

Bournemouth W 2.4-0.6

Newcastle L 0.9-2.2

Sheffield United W 1.2-1.1

Tottenham W 2.1-0.7

Fulham L 1.4-2.8

Arsenal L 0.7-2.8

Burnley D 0.8-0.8

Nottingham Forest L 1.2-1.3

West Ham L 0.7-1.1

 

19) Burnley – 10 points

Actual points: 8 (-2 points)

Manchester City L 0.3-1.9

Aston Villa L 0.7-2.5

Tottenham L 1.3-2.2

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7

Manchester United W 1.1-1.0

Newcastle United L 0.6-3.2

Luton L 1.1-1.3

Chelsea L 0.7-1.9

Brentford L 1.1-3.1

Bournemouth L 0.8-1.1

Crystal Palace L 1.1-1.3

Arsenal L 0.4-1.9

West Ham W 1.27-1.03

Sheffield United W 1.8-0.4

Wolves D 0.8-0.8

Brighton L 0.6-2.6

Everton L 0.7-1.3

 

20) Sheffield United – 6 points

Actual points: 8 (+2 points)

Crystal Palace L 0.5-1.9

Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.4

Manchester City L 0.7-3.5

Everton L 1.2-2.5

Tottenham L 0.7-2.1

Newcastle United L 0.9-3.9

West Ham L 1.1-2.1

Fulham L 0.6-2.2

Man Utd W 1.4-1.1

Arsenal L 0.0-2.8

Wolves L 1.1-1.2

Brighton L 0.7-1.5

Bournemouth L 0.81-2.71

Burnley L 0.4-1.8

Liverpool L 0.7-1.8

Brentford W 0.8-0.6

Chelsea L 0.4-2.8